CryptoQuant analysts have detected a surge in their DIPI (Difficulty Issuance Price Indicator) metric tracking stressed bitcoin inflows to exchanges, a pattern historically preceding major market capitulations in 2018, 2022, and now 2026.
The indicator monitors three categories of pressure: old bitcoins entering exchange wallets, transfers from long-term holders moving coins to trading venues, and bitcoin deposits made at a loss. According to the analysis, sharp spikes in DIPI have consistently emerged during periods of maximum market stress, suggesting conditions similar to previous capitulation events may be developing.
The signal's reappearance raises concerns about a potential significant correction in the near term, as the metric has historically served as a reliable indicator of distressed selling and market bottoms. CryptoQuant's full analysis is available on their platform.